WORKING PAPERS

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Employment and earnings by industry before Covid-19

Donaldson, Andrew R; Horn, Aidan J (2021-07)

Employment levels and the distribution of earnings by industry in 2010 and 2019/20 are examined in this paper, illustrating trends over this decade before the impact of Covid-19 and the accompanying economic downturn. ...
Methods for credible evaluation of programme stimulus effects in South Africa

Bassier, Ihsaan; Budlender, Joshua (2021-07)

In response to the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, in 2020-21 the South African government instituted various economic relief and stimulus programmes. These included substantial increases to social grant disbursements ...
Labour market effects of the great lockdown in South Africa: Earnings and employment during 2020–2022

Horn, Aidan, J; Donaldson, Andrew, R (2021-07)

This paper quantifies the impact of the covid-19 economic shock on aggregate earnings and employment by industry in South Africa. We construct pre-covid-19 counterfactual forecasts for the 2020 Q2 – 2022 Q4 period and ...