Bonini, Nicolao; Pighin, Stefania; Rettore, Enrico; Savadori, Lucia; Schena, Federico; Tonini, Sara; Tosi, Paolo
(Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2018, 2018-06)
Overconfidence is a well-established bias in which someone’s subjective confidence in their own judgment is systematically greater than their objective accuracy. There is abundant anecdotal evidence that overconfident ...